I don't normally post heavy topics. But with tensions growing over Syria and the suspected use of chemical warfare, I wanted to write my thoughts out. So no real jokes or snarky comments. Just me. (Better get the hot coco this will be a long one)

A threat to global security and the better meant of the human race has been used over and over again. This also will not stop with Syria.

This dates to after WW2, when the U.S. changed from a non interventionist and transformed into a believer in Hegemonic stability theory. Put bluntly; they need to be the strongest, most powerful nation and sometimes that could mean jamming a stick in the bicycle wheel of potential competitors. What it does not mean is being altruistic hence why you always hear strategic interest, to this end nothing else counts as long as the people at home do not raise their fists in anger.

As for the anger of the people in protest, I don't see that happening. People are much to docile to really inconvenience themselves. Even if a group wanted to change the system through voting they would be decimated as "weird" or untrustworthy people like we've seen happen to a few whistle blowers as of late.

For the rebels, there is suspicion that the U.S. has been directing them on the battle field. One of the tactics used is highly reminiscent of Patterns of Conflict. Since I know half of you won't read it, the basic idea is, you attack positions at what appears random, hold ground, when the enemy comes you pull back and pick another target, this makes the enemy expend resources which also reveals their hand. (works in starcraft also)

The Syrian army started to surround areas before attacking so they could kill the retreating rebels. The rebels started taking significant losses and discontent arose. A rebel commander did a taped interview threatening to reveal the west secrets if they did not receive more support.

What was the secret? Perhaps the chemical attacks were falsified? What we do know is a bunch of Rebel commanders started to behead each other. Most likely turf wars and also to intimidate any doubting in the ranks.

Now, you might think Assad is the most terrible guy in the world. Then you may watch the rebels behead priest François Murad, children and citizens cheering on the act.

You might find yourself in a bit of a moral dilemma. If you have a rational mind, you'll understand these are the archetype of people that are going to rule the country when the government is destroyed.

But why are they stalling if everything is decided already? There is an attempt to persuade Russia into accepting it and turning their back on an ally. . What ever the carrot they're using it does not appear to be working. Russia seems to know they'll end up with the stick any which way they go.

However, Russia did something even greater that threatened the hegemonic dominance of current power centers. They attempted to create a new world bank with China, Brazil, India, and South Africa. BRICS, as it is known, is to be a competitor to the World Bank to offer fairer financing for non western aligned countries.

But let's get back on track to the most likely moves that will increase the dominant hegemonic power and decrease the competitors. The first thing to realize is public opinion does matter, if it is overwhelming. The problem with the wars is the U.S. casualties.

Another angle is the fact that Syria is not the last battle field to keep them occupied. After Operation Iraqi freedom, Iran became a huge trading partner to Iraq. Not that there isn't almost daily bombings in Iraq now, but after Syria, I expect heavier operations to move there.

Keep in mind, a lot of this posturing. Effective posturing has the potential to gain objectives without war. It's basically a stare down.

Now if war does come to the US and the west, after all the main objectives are completed, hegemonic dominance restored and the dollar secured, there will be a huge radical problem in the middle east. Some radical groups will no doubt go against the grain and believe they are immune or have the ability to resist U.S. pressures.

The cycle continues on.